So You’ve Deliberately Walked James Wooden. What Now?

Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Photos

On Sunday, the Angels made 22-year-old James Wooden the primary participant to obtain 4 intentional walks in a single recreation since Barry Bonds in 2004. You can argue the plan labored, too, as Wooden got here up with at the least one runner in scoring place all 4 occasions, and the one a kind of runners to attain did so on a weird, inning-ending double play. If the Angels’ objective was to keep away from the large inning, then they nailed it. If their objective was to win the sport, effectively, hope springs everlasting; the Nationals received, 7-4, in 11 innings. The apparent takeaway is the 6’7” Wooden is a terrifying expertise, however simply as apparent is how out of step with present baseball pondering – or actually any baseball pondering – this transfer was.

Wooden is having an unimaginable season, launching 22 house runs, strolling 14.5% of the time, and batting .283. His 156 wRC+ makes him the eighth-best hitter within the recreation this season and a real contender for the Nationwide League MVP. Nonetheless, it’s not possible to argue that he’s in Bonds territory. Bonds earned 4 IBBs 4 totally different occasions that yr. He was within the midst of his fifth straight 45-homer season and thirteenth straight 30-homer marketing campaign. He held the single-season house run document and was closing in on the all-time one. He put up a 233 wRC+ en path to an absurd 11.9 WAR in 2004. He was in his personal league. Furthermore, the sport has progressed in its pondering since 2004, and it’s now extensively understood that an intentional stroll isn’t the good transfer.

Stathead, which makes use of Retrosheet information from again earlier than intentional walks have been an official stat, lists 12 situations by which a participant acquired at the least 4 intentional walks in a recreation. This John Schwartz article from the 1980 Baseball Analysis Journal can train you much more concerning the earlier historical past of the IBB, together with the competition that Mel Ott acquired 5 intentional passes in the course of the second recreation of a doubleheader on October 5, 1929 (although Retrosheet solely lists three of Ott’s 5 walks that day as intentional). So that is an awfully uncommon feat, and absolutely a 3rd of the occasions it has occurred in baseball historical past, it was particularly occurring to Bonds in 2004.

As Alexandra Whitley famous for Baseball Prospectus, Wooden’s achievement was all of the extra notable given the state of the sport at the moment: “He’s obtained some added degree-of-difficulty on account of fewer intentional walks on this period, fewer prolonged extra-inning video games, no fascinating pitcher’s spot for opponents to focus on (I’m taking a look at you, Garry Templeton 4-IBB recreation), and all 4 of his IBBs coming as quickly as he stepped to the plate, reasonably than being mid plate-appearance choices. Should you use these situations, you may fairly shortly slender this right down to probably the most respect proven to a non-Barry-Bonds hitter since Roger Maris (Sr.), or perhaps ever.” All of that is to say this got here out of nowhere. Aaron Decide has by no means acquired 4 free passes in a recreation, and neither has Mike Trout (although each gamers have, as soon as every, acquired three).

The half that jumped out at me was the fascinating spot for opponents to focus on. Not solely was Wooden not batting in entrance of a feeble pitcher, however the gamers hitting behind him have been truly fairly good! The Angels have been being actually cautious in opposition to an excellent hitter with runners in scoring place, however they have been additionally placing yet one more runner on base earlier than they needed to face respectable hitters. The intentional walks introduced up Luis García Jr. as soon as and Amed Rosario 3 times. García is having a little bit of a down yr, however he nonetheless got here into the sport with a 101 wRC+. Furthermore, he was on a scorching streak, working a 137 wRC+ over his earlier 12 video games, and he’d led off the sequence with a three-hit recreation. Rosario got here in with a wRC+ of 109. Neither participant has scary numbers, however they’re not pushovers both. Wooden got here into the sport with a 156 wRC+, which is incredible. It’s 49 factors above the mixed marks of García and Rosario. However that hole remains to be method decrease than the hole between Bonds and Wooden – not to mention the hole between Bonds and whoever was batting after him.

I used to be curious how that hole stacked up traditionally, so I gathered information on the opposite four-free-pass video games (and, in fact, Andre Dawson’s five-IBB recreation in 1990). I checked out every participant’s wRC+ coming into the sport, after which I subtracted the wRC+ of the following batter within the lineup. A pair explanatory notes earlier than we get into the numbers: We don’t have recreation logs for among the older seasons, so in these circumstances I had to make use of every participant’s full-season stats reasonably than their stats going into the sport. Subsequent, within the majority of circumstances, the second lineup spot was shared by a number of gamers, so I calculated a prorated common wRC+ for them. For instance, García had one PA and Rosario had three on Sunday, so I calculated their mixed wRC+ like this: (101 x 0.25) + (109 x 0.75) = 107.

Video games With 4 Intentional Walks

SOURCE: Stathead

Dawson was walked deliberately 5 occasions on Might 22, 1990.

This chart gives loads of enjoyable stuff. Solely 4 of those video games didn’t go to additional innings, and solely three of them noticed the group being walked lose. There’s Bonds getting the four-pass remedy twice in a 10-day interval. There’s J.T. Snow working a 155 wRC+ in the most effective season of his total profession, however nonetheless trailing Bonds by 81 factors. There’s Edgardo Alfonzo, who put up a 150 wRC+ just some years earlier, made to appear to be one thing the cat dragged in. Final and positively not least, there’s the delightfully nicknamed David “Soup” Campbell.

Again to our unique query, Wooden’s 49-point benefit over García and Rosario is certainly one of many smallest gaps within the small-sample historical past of four-IBB video games. Its closest neighbor is the 64-point hole within the Templeton recreation, when the Pirates simply walked him to face the pitcher’s spot. A lot of the gaps have been above 95 factors. The 4 Bonds video games averaged 206 factors. Two-hundred and 6! Bonds was a complete MVP-caliber hitter higher than the gamers batting instantly after him. The Angels’ resolution to stroll Wooden wasn’t unprecedented, but it surely was uncommon even within the context of four-IBB video games. It actually is difficult to wrap your head round.

Earlier than I depart you, let’s look into among the different enjoyable video games on the checklist. The Maris recreation ranks second, and it additionally options the Angels. One yr faraway from breaking Babe Ruth’s single-season house run document, Maris was having an excellent however not unimaginable season. It looks like the Angels weren’t essentially frightened of him particularly. They didn’t simply stroll him deliberately 4 occasions, additionally they issued three extra passes to his teammates. It was one among simply eight video games with at the least seven recorded IBBs. The strolling group misplaced each a kind of video games besides one.

On August 25, 2021, the Dodgers walked the Padres deliberately a document eight occasions over 16 innings. All eight of their intentional walks got here throughout extras. They have been a response to the zombie runner, but additionally to the truth that the Padres had pulled a double-switch that moved their pitcher into the fifth spot within the lineup. 5 of the eight IBBs got here in service of bypassing the center of the San Diego lineup so as to face the pitcher – three of them to cleanup hitter Jake Cronenworth, who got here so shut to creating our checklist – and the ploy labored. The Dodgers received, 5-3.

By far the oddest recreation on the checklist belongs to the competition between the Reds and the Cubs on September 7, 1951. On that day, feared slugger Ted Kluszewski flied out within the second inning, grounded out within the fourth, homered within the sixth, and flied out within the eighth. However the recreation went 18 innings. Kluszewski got here to the plate with runners in scoring place in his subsequent 4 plate appearances. Every time, the Cubs put him on, and every time they averted a run by getting Hank Edwards out. It wasn’t all the time simple, although; within the backside of the fifteenth, Edwards hit what ought to have been a walk-off single, however the ball hit the hulking Kluszewski, ending the inning. Kluszewski lastly got here to the plate with the bases empty within the 18th inning, and the Cubs lastly pitched to him once more. He hit a leadoff single off Dutch Leonard, who then walked Edwards. After one other single and a fielder’s selection, Dixie Howell scored Edwards on a sac fly to left, ending the sport after 4 hours and eight minutes. (As a facet observe, this absolute traditional doesn’t but have a SABR recreation story, so should you’re a member, it is best to volunteer to put in writing it!)

However whereas that made for a wild and loopy recreation, the oddest factor is Edwards was a a lot, a lot better hitter than Kluszewski each in that season and to that time of their careers. Kluszewski would go on to develop into one of many recreation’s nice energy hitters, launching 187 house runs and working a 144 wRC+ over the following 5 years, however 1951 was simply his fifth season (together with his nine-game cup of espresso in 1947), and solely as soon as throughout that five-season span he had put up an an above-average batting line. In the meantime, Edwards was coming off a six-year stretch throughout which he batted .286 and ran a 124 wRC+. He batted .364 in 1950! In 1951, Kluszewski batted .259 with 13 homers for an 81 wRC+. It was by far the worst season of his total profession, and he put up -0.2 WAR. In the meantime, Edwards batted .297 with a 14.9% stroll price that gave him a 116 wRC+. He wasn’t an influence hitter, however his on-base proportion was 65 factors greater than Kluszewski’s. In a scenario the place a base hit equals a loss, wouldn’t you reasonably pitch to the slugger than face the on-base man, even earlier than you think about the truth that the on-base man’s batting common is 38 factors greater? It’s even weirder than strolling James Wooden 4 occasions.

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