FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: September 6, 2025

Wendell Cruz-Imagn Photographs

Hi there everybody, and welcome to the primary mailbag of September. We now have simply over three weeks to go within the common season, and regardless of what our Playoff Odds say, I’m nonetheless holding out hope for not less than one or two thrilling postseason races.

Getting into play Friday night time, 11 groups (six within the NL and 5 within the AL) had a greater than 90% probability to achieve the playoffs; at 74.2%, the Mariners have been the one membership in possession of a playoff spot that was on much less stable floor. Three different groups might nonetheless spoil Seattle’s enjoyable: the Rangers (12.5%), the Royals (10.6%), and the Rays (10.2%). Of the Senior Circuit groups that aren’t in a playoff place, the Giants (4.3%) had one of the best shot of snagging a Wild Card berth. Nonetheless, for any of you cheering for chaos, the Reds (2.3%) host the Mets, the present six seed, for 3 video games this weekend; Cincinnati started the sequence 5 video games behind New York.

We gained’t be answering any questions in regards to the playoff race right this moment, however we do contact on a few gamers on contending groups. Earlier than we get to them, although, a couple of fast issues: First, because of Meg Rowley for placing collectively final week’s mailbag whereas I used to be on trip, which I spent in Toronto watching baseball! My dad and I had by no means been to Rogers Centre earlier than, so we determined to examine one other ballpark off our record. Additionally, FanGraphs is hiring a full-time prospect author. For extra info, try the job posting right here. Lastly, I’d prefer to remind all of you that whereas anybody can submit a query, this mailbag is unique to FanGraphs Members. Should you aren’t but a Member and want to hold studying, you possibly can join a Membership right here. It’s one of the simplest ways to each expertise the positioning and assist our workers, and it comes with a bunch of different nice advantages. Additionally, in the event you’d prefer to ask a query for an upcoming mailbag, ship me an e mail at mailbag@fangraphs.com.

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