The PGA Tour continues its Florida Swing with a bang this week as gamers will descend upon Bay Hill Membership & Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
This would be the fourth Signature Occasion of the PGA Tour season, bringing with it the elevated $20,000,000 purse and extra FedEx Cup factors.
Granted, that is a kind of tournaments that doesn’t want incentive to attract among the finest fields of the season.
Lots of the world’s high gamers together with Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy will tee it up looking for one other win.
So, let’s get to the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions and make a choose.
Arnold Palmer Invitational odds
The sphere at Arnie’s Place is about as stacked as you will get. Listed below are the present odds, per DraftKings:
- Scottie Scheffler +650
- Rory McIlroy +850
- Viktor Hovland +1600
- Xander Schauffele +1800
- Patrick Cantlay +1800
- Ludvig Aberg +2000
- Collin Morikawa +2200
- Tommy Fleetwood +2500
- Jordan Spieth +2500
- Sam Burns +2800
- Max Homa +2800
- Cameron Younger +2800
- Justin Thomas +2800
- Matt Fitzpatrick +3000
As you may see, it’s a who’s who of the PGA Tour. That makes choosing a winner a troublesome endeavor. Nevertheless, there are some keys to be checked out.
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Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions
Bay Hill Membership & Lodge is well some of the troublesome programs on the PGA Tour yearly. After there have been modifications made across the greens 5 years in the past, this course has ranked high 5 most troublesome every season by way of scoring.
However what does that imply?
Effectively, let’s break it down.
Rory McIlroy matches the course to supply worth, however to not win
The course will play simply over 7,400 yards. That’s fairly the monitor and can clearly give gamers who’re lengthy off the tee considerably of a bonus.
Nevertheless, the tough beside the golf green is, in some spots, three inches thick. That locations a premium not simply on driving it far, however driving it precisely.
Everybody is aware of that McIlroy is a bomber off the tee. However up to now this 12 months, he has additionally been lethal correct, rating 14th on tour at over 68% of fairways hit.
I don’t suppose his brief recreation will probably be sturdy sufficient to hold him to a win. In any case, Bay Hill is infamous for its wild inexperienced complexes and Rory ranks 132nd in putts per spherical this 12 months.
However he ought to be capable to place himself effectively sufficient off the tee that he will probably be in rivalry into the weekend.
For that purpose, I like McIlroy and his -110 odds of a High-10 end. You get even cash minus the juice on a monitor he has carried out very effectively at traditionally.
Cameron Younger primed for a breakout efficiency
One other actually attention-grabbing wager is Cameron Younger to complete High-5. You’ll get +500 for a participant whose recreation seems to be in high type proper now.
Younger completed T4 on the Cognizant Basic, T16 on the Genesis Invitational and T8 on the Phoenix Open his final three tournaments.
This course has been the third most predictive based mostly on previous performances on tour, per the New York Occasions.
Effectively, Younger has completed inside the highest 13 every of the 2 occasions he has performed right here earlier than.
This course assessments each facet of your recreation. If there’s a obvious weak spot, Bay Hill will discover it. But, Younger is center of the pack or higher in almost each statistical class this 12 months.
To get 5-to-1 odds that he finishes High-5 right here, I like that wager.
Arnold Palmer Invitational lengthy shot
In case you are searching for some actually lengthy odds, look no additional than Min Woo Lee.
He’s fairly clearly a budding star on tour and presents +4000 odds to win the event
Contemplating all the lengthy photographs which have gained this 12 months, that’s a strong worth for somebody as gifted as Lee.
It’s not a matter of if he breaks out, however when.
Lee completed his 2023 sturdy, gathering three High-10s in his ultimate 5 begins. He then completed T2 final week on the Cognizant.
Perhaps that is his time to shine, and put Staff USA’s Presidents Cup staff on discover.
Arnold Palmer Invitational choose
Talking of breakout stars, I’m going to choose Ludvig Aberg to win at Arnie’s Place.
Aberg is each lengthy off the tee and correct. His brief recreation has vastly improved in such a brief period of time and the 24-year-old has proven a propensity for enjoying huge in huge moments.
Simply ask Staff USA’s Ryder Cup staff who he helped emphatically embarrass.
He completed his 2023 season on fireplace, gathering three High-5s and 5 straight High-15s to shut out the 12 months. That features a win on the RSM Basic, one other course within the Southeast U.S. that makes use of Bermuda grass.
He has continued that momentum into this 12 months and almost gained once more at Pebble Seashore.
Aberg is at present going off at +2000. You’re telling me that I get 20-to-1 odds that this child’s ascent continues at a spot identified for making historical past. Signal me up.
For all different sports activities betting content material, try SB Nation’s DraftKings website.
Kendall Capps is the Senior Editor of SB Nation’s Taking part in Via. For extra golf protection, comply with us @_PlayingThrough on all main social media platforms.