Catch the situations and chance of all of the ten IPL 2025 groups’ probabilities to make it into high 4 and qualify for the playoffs.
After Match 60, we finally have three teams in the IPL 2025 playoffs. With Gujarat Titans beating Delhi Capitals by 10 wickets, the three playoff spots were sealed. Gujarat Titans, Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Punjab Kings secured playoff spots. That leaves just one spot for three teams to vie for. DC, Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants are now in the race to seal that one remaining spot.
The remaining 10 matches will be crucial. There is still a Qualifier 1 spot to be earned while three teams will fight for the only remaining spot in the playoffs.
IPL 2025 Points Table
| Pos | Teams | Mat | Won | Lost | NR | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gujarat Titans (Q) | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0.795 |
| 2 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru (Q) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0.482 |
| 3 | Punjab Kings (Q) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0.389 |
| 4 | Mumbai Indians | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 1.156 |
| 5 | Delhi Capitals | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 0.006 |
| 6 | Kolkata Knight Riders (E) | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 0.193 |
| 7 | Lucknow Super Giants | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | -0.469 |
| 8 | Sunrisers Hyderabad (E) | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1.192 |
| 9 | Rajasthan Royals (E) | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | -0.701 |
| 10 | Chennai Super Kings (E) | 12 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 6 | -0.992 |
IPL Playoff format
- Qualifier 1: The top two teams (1st vs 2nd) from the league stage compete. The winner advances directly to the final. The loser gets another chance in Qualifier 2.
- Eliminator: The third and fourth-placed teams (3rd vs 4th) face off. The winner advances to Qualifier 2, and the loser is eliminated.
- Qualifier 2: The loser of Qualifier 1 plays the winner of the Eliminator. The winner of this match qualifies for the final. The loser is eliminated.
- Final: The winner of Qualifier 1 faces the winner of Qualifier 2 to determine the IPL champion.
RCB (Royal Challengers Bengaluru) Scenario – QUALIFIED
- Remaining Fixtures: vs LSG (A), vs SRH (H)
- Position: 1st – 12 matches, 17 points, NRR +0.482
- Status: Qualified
RCB Qualification Scenario
With Gujarat Titans winning against Delhi Capitals, Royal Challengers Bengaluru have secured a playoff spot. Now, RCB have two matches left to vie for a Top 2 finish and secure a place in Qualifier 1. RCB are currently 2nd with 17 points from 12 matches. They need to win at least one out of the two matches to seal the Qualifier 1 spot.
PBKS (Punjab Kings) Scenario – QUALIFIED
- Remaining Fixtures: vs DC (H), vs MI (H)
- Position: 3rd – 12 matches, 17 points, NRR +0.389
- Status: Qualified
PBKS Qualification Scenario
After 11 years, Punjab Kings have sealed a playoff spot. With 17 points from 12 matches, all PBKS needed was a win. But as GT won against DC, PBKS sealed the deal. All they need is now to beat DC and MI to seal a Top 2 finish for Qualifier 1.
GT (Gujarat Titans) Scenario – QUALIFIED
- Remaining Fixtures: vs LSG (H), vs CSK (H)
- Position: 1st – 12 matches, 18 points, NRR +0.795
- Status: Qualified
GT Qualification Scenario
Gujarat Titans became the first team to qualify for the IPL 2025 playoffs with a comprehensive 10-wicket win over Delhi Capitals. With 18 points from 12 matches, GT are on top of the points table. All they need is a win to seal a spot in Qualifier 1.
MI (Mumbai Indians) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs PBKS (A), vs DC (H)
- Position: 4th – 12 matches, 14 points, NRR +1.274
- Probability: ~70%
Qualification Scenario
The loss against GT did not help MI. It not only ended MI’s 6-match winning streak, but also slightly dented their hopes. MI now must beat Punjab Kings or Delhi Capitals to remain in the fray. Two wins in two matches will ensure qualification. But if they lose both, they will be knocked out. Both PBKS and DC are playoff contenders. While a loss against PBKS won’t be that damaging, a defeat to DC could end their playoff hopes.
DC (Delhi Capitals) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs MI (A), vs PBKS (A)
- Position: 5th – 12 matches, 13 points, NRR +0.006
- Probability: ~65%
DC Qualification Scenario
The 10-wicket loss to Gujarat Titans not only dented their chances but also wiped out any advantage they had on the Net Run Rate. DC now must win their two remaining matches to be in contention. In fact, MI vs DC will be a knockout match. The loser will bow out. If DC beat MI, they will have to beat PBKS as well to seal the deal or hope that MI lose to PBKS.
KKR (Kolkata Knight Riders) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs SRH (A)
- Position: 6th – 13 matches, 12 points, NRR +0.193
- Status: Eliminated
KKR Qualification Scenario
And the inevitable has happened. With a washed-out match, Kolkata is ousted from the tournament, with only one match to go. They would like to salvage some pride there.
LSG (Lucknow Super Giants) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs RCB (H), vs GT (A), vs SRH (H)
- Position: 7th – 11 matches, 10 points, NRR -0.469
- Probability: ~5%
LSG Qualification Scenario
LSG must win all three remaining matches to get to 16 points. Their low NRR means they also need at least one big win or for rivals like DC and KKR to lose multiple games. If they lose even one, their campaign is essentially over. Winning against both RCB and GT is critical, as it also directly hurts playoff rivals.
SRH (Sunrisers Hyderabad) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs KKR (H), vs RCB (A), vs LSG (A)
- Position: 8th – 11 matches, 7 points, NRR -1.192
- Status: Eliminated
SRH cannot qualify even if they win all remaining games. They can only reach 13 points. Their role now is that of spoilers against KKR, RCB and LSG. Expect them to test bench strength and focus on ending the season with pride.
RR (Rajasthan Royals) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs CSK (H)
- Position: 9th – 13 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.701
- Status: Eliminated
RR are officially out of the playoffs after their heavy loss to MI. The team will look to salvage some pride vs CSK.
CSK (Chennai Super Kings) Scenario
- Remaining Fixtures: vs RR (A), vs GT (A)
- Position: 10th – 12 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.992
- Status: Eliminated
CSK’s campaign is over, and they will finish in the bottom two. A poor NRR and horrible form have marked their downfall. Their remaining matches will impact the playoff race.
